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Russian Gas Industry: Outlook for Development in 2009-2010


Release date: July 2009
Language: English, Russian
Volume: 97 pages, over 60 figures, maps and tables
Format: book and cd (print-out protected)
Delivery: express mail (2-4 days)
Price: 2,000 ą

 

Russian Gas Industry: Outlook for Development in 2009-2010 is designed to provide a comprehensive overview of the gas industry in Russia confronted by the current economic crisis and challenging energy price environment.

Russian Gas Industry: Outlook for Development in 2009- 2010:

  • examines operational performance of Gazprom and independent gas producers in 2008 and the first quarter of 2009
  • provides outlook for gas demand and consumption domestically and internationally in 2009-2010
  • dwells on anti-crisis strategies and development plans of the key industry players.

The study builds on the in-depth analysis of Russia’s natural gas exports, imports and gas production presented in the following studies by RPI released in 2008 and 2009:

 

Introduction


Chapter 1. Gas Industry: 2008 Results
1.1. Gazprom
†††† 1.1.1. Gazprom’s operating results
††††††††Production
††††††† Reserves base build-up
††††††† Gas transportation system development
††††††††International gas transportation projects
††††††† Underground gas storage
††††††† Domestic sales
††††††† Sales in FSU countries
††††††† Gas imports
†††† 1.1.2. Financial results
††††††† Market capitalization
††††††† Sales and revenues
††††††††Profit
††††††† Capital investment
††††††† Operating costs
††††††† Debt
†††† 1.1.3. Comparative analysis of the first and second halves of 2008. Assessment of crisis impact on Gazprom in the second half of 2008
†††† 1.1.4. Gazpromís preparedness for continuing crisis
1.2. Independent gas producers
†††† 1.2.1. Gazprombank
††††††† Sibneftegaz
††††††† Yamal LNG (Yamal SPG)
†††† 1.2.2. NOVATEK
†††††1.2.3. ITERA
†††††1.2.4. Large oil companies
††††††† LUKOIL
††††††† Rosneft
††††††† Surgutneftegaz
††††††††TNK-BP
††††††† Other players
1.3. Conclusions


Chapter 2. Impact of Economic Crisis on Domestic and International Gas Demand in 2009 and 2010
2.1. Outlook for Russiaís economic development and decline in gas demand in Russia in 2009 and 2010
2.2. Consumption of Russian gas by CIS and the Baltic states from year-end 2008 through 2010
2.3. Consumption of Russian gas by European countries from year-end 2008 through 2010
2.4. Assessment of Russian gas supply/demand balance


Chapter 3. Russiaís Gas Industry in Changing Business Environment in 2009 and 2010
3.1. Gazprom in the new environment
†††† 3.1.1. Key negative and positive aspcts of economic crisis for Gazprom
†††† 3.1.2. Gazpromís short-term production and financial priorities over the crisis period
†††† 3.1.3. Key factors of Gazpromís operations in the FSU
†††† 3.1.4. Gazpromís projected gas balance
†††† 3.1.5. Gazpromís further plans
3.2. Independent companies

 
Figure 1.1. Gazprom’s production in 2000-2008 (bcm)
Figure 1.2. Gazpromís production in 2008 by subsidiary (%)
Figure 1.3. Gazprom Dobycha Yamburgís and Gazprom Dobycha Urengoyís production in 2001-2008
(bcm)
Figure 1.4. Nord Stream organization
Figure 1.5. Gazpromís domestic supplies in 2000-2008 (bcm)
Figure 1.6. Gazpromís domestic supplies in 2008 by consumer type (%)
Figure 1.7. Gazpromís wholesale prices for industrial and residential users in 2008 (RUR per 1,000 cubic
meters)
Figure 1.8. Gazpromís supplies to CIS and the Baltic states in 2003-2008 (bcm)
Figure 1.9. Structure of Gazpromís supplies to CIS and the Baltic states in 2008 (%)
Figure 1.10. Russian gas transit via neighboring countries (Belarus, Georgia, Estonia Ukraine) in 2008
(bcm)
Figure 1.11. Gazpromís supplies to Europe in 2008 by region (%)
Figure 1.12. Gazprom Germany holding structure in 2008
Figure 1.13. Gazpromís prices for European and FSU countries in 2000-2008 ($ per 1,000 cubic meters)
Figure 1.14. Purchasing price of Central Asian gas in 2008 ($ per 1,000 cubic meters)
Figure 1.15. Dynamicís of Gazpromís capitalization in 2003-2008 (end of period), $ billion
Figure 1.16. Gazpromís sales structure in 2008 (%)
Figure 1.17. Domestic vs. international sales/revenues (%)
Figure 1.18. Gazpromís net profit in 2002-2008 (RUR billion)
Figure 1.19. Comparative analysis of approved capital investment versus actual spending in 2005-2008
(RUR billion)
Figure 1.20. Capital investment by area in 2007-2008 (RUR billion)
Figure 1.21. Growth of third parties oil and gas and transit costs in 2003-2008 (RUR billion)
Figure 1.22. Dynamics of Gazprom's debt in 2003-2008 at the end of reporting period (RUR billion)
Figure 1.23. Gazpromís debt structure in 2008
Figure 1.24. Gazprombankís shareholders at the end of 2008 (%)
Figure 1.25. Sibneftegazí shareholders at the end of 2008 (%)
Figure 1.26. Sibneftegazí production in 2007-2008 by half year periods (bcm)
Figure 1.27. NOVATEKís production in 2000-2008 (bcm)
Figure 1.28. NOVATEKís production structure in 2008 by subsidiary
Figure 1.29. NOVATEKís shareholders in 2008 (%)
Figure 1.30. Gas sales and prices distribution in 2008 by consumer type
Figure 1.31. Gas production by oil companies in 2000-2008 (bcm)
Figure 1.32. LUKOILís gas production in Russia in 2000-2008 (bcm)
Figure 1.33. Rosneftís gas production in 2000-2008 (bcm)
Figure 1.34. Surgutneftegazí gas production in 2000-2008 (bcm)
Figure 1.35. TNK-BP Holdingís gas production in 2003-2008 (bcm)
Figure 1.36. Rospanís gas production in 2000-2008 (bcm)
Figure 1.37. Gas production by independent companies (bcm)
Figure 2.1. Dymanics of Industrial Production Index in Russia in 2008 and in the first quarter of 2009 (%)
Figure 2.2. Gas consumption in Russia in 2000-2008 (bcm)
Figure 2.3. Electric power generation at thermal power stations and gas consumption in the electric
industry in the 4th quarter of 2007 and 2008
Figure 2.4. Dynamics of GDP and IPI; gas consumption and electric power generation at thermal power
stations from January through March 2009 (% of the same period of 2008)
Figure 2.5. Wholesale gas prices for industrial and residential users in 2009 in selected regions (less VAT)
Figure 2.6. Natural gas consumption in 2009 by quarter and IPI dynamics compared to respective periods
in 2008
Figure 2.7. Natural gas consumption in Russia by consumer type in 2009 (%)
Figure 2.8. Gas consumption dynamics by half-year period in 2008-2010 (bcm)
Figure 2.9. Projected natural gas consumption in Russia by consumer type in 2010
Figure 2.10. Gas exports to Ukraine by quarter in 2009 and 2010, as per contract dated January 20, 2009
(bcm)
Figure 2.11. Gas deliveries to FSU countries in 2006-2010 (bcm)
Figure 2.12. World prices for Brent crude, fuel oil and growth of Russian gas prices in 2008
Figure 2.13. Russian gas exports to Europe in 2009 by region
Figure 2.14. Distribution of exported gas volumes to Europe by region in 2010
 
Table 1.1. Gazprom’s interest in major FSU gas companies in 2008
Table 1.2. Gazpromís ratings based on 2007-2008 results
Table 1.3. NOVATEKís financial performance in 2008
Table 1.4. Gas projects with ITERAís involvement
Table 1.5. LUKOILís production and financial performance in 2008
Table 1.6. Rosneftís production and financial performance in 2008
Table 3.1. Gazpromís supply/demand balance in 2009-2010
 
Map 1. Gazprom’s core fields in NPTR
Map 2. Yamal Peninsula gas fields
Map 3. Gazpromís current and planned transportation projects in the European part of Russia
Map 4. Gas supply route from the Bovanenkovskoye field
Map 5. Sakhalin-Khabarovsk-Vladivostok gas pipeline route
Map 6. Gas transportation system of Ukraine
Map 7. Transit gas pipelines blocked by the conflict


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